— Financial Times (@FT) April 1, 2021. It's called sesame credit created by Alibaba, but as much as people hype it up to be "black mirror like", it hasn't been implemented and no one knows when or even if it will be. They are indeed wealthy, but they have no allies and no one likes their government at all. In a broader sense, geopolitics studies the general relations between countries on a global scale. ... China has closely studied that war, looking for lessons to apply in a future conflict over Taiwan. Meanwhile China presses forward regardless of the devastating losses suffered by the PLAN from LRASMs and USN Attack Subs. I replied one of those reddit posts two years ago, and the reply may needs some updates on details, but it still stands today. The same news is on r/worldnews every once a while, for at least the last 2 years. By then, China will have to send an ultimatum to Taiwan, demanding the Taiwanese to choose the resolution of peaceful unification (the most preferred epilogue for the Chinese) or war (an option forced to be so) by 2025. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Feedback is welcome. Want to talk about your latest prepping endeavors? One inaccuracy - Taiwan's claim and China's claim in the SCS are almost identical, not as much different as shown in the clip. You can buy whatever train ticket you like and your child's education depends on the Hukou still. This isn't news. America’s new Cold War with China is heating up. The communist Chinese have engaged in case after case of industrial espionage, they are building militarized islands in the South China Sea, the Chinese Navy and Air Force harass Taiwan and Japan, and China’s leader has made threatening remarks about Taiwan. not to mention nuke deterrents, high powered lasers, and railguns. Furthermore, its people are not as stupid as some may think, and would not just die for the criminals who lord over them in Beijing. Although there are scenarios where it fights and nobody wins. China is not the world's economic engine, anymore than Saudi Arabia with all its riches. The relationship between the United States and China will be a central issue for Joe Biden's presidency, Alexander Görlach writes. If China thought they had a chance to win a war, it would already be happening. You can't fight a war with someone who holds your resource production. The concerns about the potential action come after a tense meeting between Secretary of State Antony Blinken and his Chinese counterparts, in which China accused America of “slaughtering” black Americans and having no … Single nation on single nation, there is little you can do to compensate for the severe lack of manpower that the US has. I believe in many respects both sides would be losers. If the escalation leads to a war then two main cases would arise - 1.} According to research organization RAND, should a major conflict arise in Russia and China… You seem to underestimate the short term impact of losing almost all of your import goods. Dont think youre giving the Chinese the credit they are due. Introduction. This gives China leverage when doing things it wants. We had the same continental territory in the lower 48 states as today, but we had a third of the people in 1940 that we have today. Here we analyse local events in terms of the bigger, global picture. Attention! all the south asian countries would team up with the us, (japan, south korea, taiwan, philippines, malaysia, vietname, prob thailand, indonesia) Nato, canada. China must work out a strategy to unify Taiwan within the next ten years, that is, by 2020. r/ww3: Want to share your dank memes? A place to discuss the subreddit that is /r/Sino Kind of a toss up. What could they threaten in return? A U.S.-China cold war would not be like the U.S.-Soviet one, which was largely military and ideological. China is not the world's economic engine, anymore than Saudi Arabia with all its riches. I'm not sure how people still talk about the 'inevitability' of war between nuclear powers in an academic setting when we have the entire history of the Cold War behind us. This is called Thucydides Trap, coined by professor Graham Allison. April 8, 2021 After convincing itself Vietnam would grant it access for missile bases against China, the Pentagon got a hard dose of reality. China Sends More Jets; Taiwan Says It Will Fight to the End if There's War By Reuters , Wire Service Content April 7, 2021 By Reuters , Wire Service Content April 7, 2021, at 1:27 a.m. War with NATO (you can't just be at war with US: It's the US + Canada + Europe) would obliterate most of the Chinese economy instantly without a single shot fired. Everyone outside of China, and many inside China, already know the government is corrupt. the US quote simply has the best military in the world. There's also no evidence that Germany was suffering from population pressure before it invaded its neighbors. Go ahead. They have alliances with Russia and India. I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. This is a mutually destructive economy shift. China-India are stable allies and NATO is shaky? There is no scenario in which China fights the United States and wins. This is the wrongest post in Reddit history. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. How do I know? Submission Statement: countries decide to go to war for strategic reasons. However, both countries do have nuclear weapons, so not adhering to international law (Non-proliferation), I'd say everyone loses. But a point for consideration is that the US is in some respects the world's remaining superpower after the cold war. Opinion Opinion: Will Joe Biden go to war with China for Taiwan? Pentagon war planners can envision a conflict with China starting in any number of ways. Shut off the spigot of cheap plastic crap exported to Walmart, for the few months it would take to set up cheap plastic crap factories in any other low-wage country? If you see others posting comments that violate this tag, please report them to the mods! They lost in Vietnam. Your not talking about a bunch of half assed mountain boys from Afganistan or a ill equiped militia in Iraq here! Chilling World War III 'wargames' show US forces crushed by Russia and China. Thanks for your cooperation and enjoy the discussion! May make a video if I find enough interesting stuff to talk about. And China could still continue to export to every country that's not NATO or US. Comments should be topical and considered. And unfortunately it seems the US has learned nothing From battling the VC and NVA in Vietnam. America and China give up and call it a day. By that same logic, the US would suddenly lose everything they import from China. Everyone in the world would learn exactly what that government is about, and it wouldn't even have to be propaganda - just straight journalism would sink them in the eyes of the world if the message were backed by money and power. This is not the Mao era. 127 members in the SinoDiscussion community. However, China still retains tense relations with India, a country with a comparably huge population but only one-quarter of the gross domestic product, from which China … The constitution has been modified many times. I replied one of those reddit posts two years ago, and the reply may needs some updates on details, but it still stands today. The reality is usually the Chinese are pretty forward looking with its policies compared to the US election cycle, especially now the president being defacto president for them for the foreseeable future. Hawaii, Korea, Japan, Taiwan all burned to the ground. r/AskReddit is the place to ask and answer thought-provoking questions. ... All data are estimates for 2021. The US by far outspends all countries in terms of military budget, yet cannot destroy ISIS. 2021-04-09T13:16:51Z The letter F. An envelope. The US doesn't have 'the best' military in the world. Please keep in mind that the OP of this thread has chosen to mark this post with the [Serious] replies only tag, therefore any replies that are jokes, puns, off-topic, or are otherwise non-contributory will be removed. Russia would but I didn't think India would. Both are extremely influential in their own hemispheres and neither would likely be able to occupy such a large amount of territory. Also new technology like the EMP beam that will shut down any electronics in its beam. we also outrank every country with aircraft and boats. War with NATO (you can't just be at war with US: It's the US + Canada + Europe) would obliterate most of the Chinese economy instantly without a single shot fired. It indicates the ability to send an email. Yet each has powerful incentives to pretend that they do want war, which could create escalation. By comparison, the US has the shaky alliance with Europe, meaning it could go either way. According to Taiwan’s Foreign Minister Joseph Wu “the Chinese authoritarian leaders may find Taiwan as a convenient scapegoat. Disclaimer: not an expert, just like to think. What would the United States wish to achieve by fighting the Chinese? sure russia has more tanks, but its not as effective as aircraft. I don't want to seem my videos too much here (I already post them quite a bit), but I appreciate anyone who posts them. With Beijing continuing to tighten an iron grip on Hong Kong, engaging in deadly skirmishes with India along their shared border and routinely bullying its smaller neighbors in the South China Sea, the Biden administration recently announced a new Pentagon task force to review U.S. defense policy toward China, to be headed by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Thanks so much! The war is an ongoing conflict between the Ba'athist Syrian Arab Republic led by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, domestic and foreign allies, and various domestic and foreign forces opposing both the Syrian government and each other varying combinations. Australia joins US to prepare for ‘worst-case’ war training at Cope North 2021. For the Vietnamese, they had successfully fought and removed a much larger enemy from their home territory. any replies that are jokes, puns, off-topic, or are otherwise non-contributory will be removed. This statement is unprovable. Well, the US isn't going to war with Russia, even when it has actively sabotaged the election process which can be considered an act of war, so what does that say? NPR's Audie Cornish speaks with Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo about steel and aluminum tariffs and the trade war with China that the Biden administration has inherited. The Biden administration has been refreshingly, and somewhat surprisingly, direct and blunt about Russia and China. Which is why I think Trumps move to put trade tariffs on steel/aluminum is not a measure of short term economic gain, but purposely directed to bring back the underlying manufacturing to secure long term military capability should there ever be a war with China. Short of these two initiatives that would short-circuit these complex dynamics, the … China has a decent arms development. China, because they happen to have stable alliances with many Eastern nations, (India, Russia). Every 'provocation' or 'incentive' was amped up to eleven and lathered with real ideological rivalries yet the US and the USSR never went into direct war with each other despite all the blusters and the hawks predicting armageddon. And I'm sure those Chinese troops are super well trained and disciplined having not fought a war in 30 years. And someone is spreading the misinformation, very consistently. It looks like a war might be on the horizon. The Syrian Civil War, which began in 2011, is the second-deadliest war of the 21st century. Its not really a contest. The thing is, China and the US are both allies in many respects are allies and adversaries, this puts them in some form of cold war, more akin to asymmetrical economic war, but at the same time they can't hurt each other so much that it hurts themselves either. One-child policy has been changed to a two-child one for a while now. This is why OBOR, the SCS dispute, the "Taiwan issue," finding alternative energy sources, etc. For the Chinese, they had successfully burned the Vietnamese capitol and returned home. It's on my list for research. The United States might not have won its long cold war with China… Also you explained Xi's goals and ambitions and the political situation in China perfectly . We use cookies on our websites for a number of purposes, including analytics and performance, functionality and advertising. Chinese units are highly disciplined, trained and equipped. is that a reference to the Hukuo system? The US could close the Strait of Hormuz, if they wanted to; they certainly can close the Strait of Malacca, cutting China off from the source of their oil. When the Pentagon began gearing up for a future war with China in 2018, Defense Department officials quickly realized that they needed access to Vietnamese territory for troops armed with missiles to hit Chinese ships in a US-China conflict. (E.g. My video here goes into far greater detail. Remember China has interferred with the US elections and that now is an act of war. Looks like you're using new Reddit on an old browser. War with NATO (you can't just be at war with US: It's the US + Canada + Europe) would obliterate most of the Chinese economy instantly without a single shot fired. Everyone in between China and California completely demolished. Shut off the spigot of cheap plastic crap exported to Walmart, for the few months it would take to set up cheap plastic crap factories in any other low-wage country? Everyone in the world would learn exactly what that government is about, and it wouldn't even have to be propaganda - just straight journalism would sink them in the eyes of the world if the message were backed by money and power. Yet, they cannot build a better army. Source? Xi was definitely not the first to do so. Does China have a huge motive to fight the US outside of just pushing us outside of Asia? New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast, More posts from the geopolitics community. It is universally hostile and crudely corrupt. by Fred Reed April 6, 2021; The Last Link, by The Zman April 6, 2021; SAVE AMERICA: Trump Calls on Patriots to Boycott Companies that Hate Them, by Gen Z Conservative April 6, 2021; Voltswagen vs. Volkswagen, by Eric Peters April 6, 2021 Edit: After reading the posts in the thread, I would like to say it is impossible to guess which alliance will be honored and which will be broken. Yep, it is actually ROC's claim that the current ROC government in Taiwan inherited. In other words, it would be alone. Be my guest. I'm impressed. They have made some really interesting choices in places like Africa. The United States did not have an "overabundance of people" before World War 2. But China and the U.S. both have a lot to lose from war, so it would seem unlikely. An island that lies inside Taiwan's territory is seen on February 4, 2021 off the coast of Lieyu, an outlying island of Kinmen that is the closest point between Taiwan and China. All top-level replies need to be from someone who is in the group the question was asked to. We use cookies on our websites for a number of purposes, including analytics and performance, functionality and advertising. What would China's objectives be in a war with the United States? Guerrilla warfare has really changed fighting. Countries that feel mistreated by the United States may support China in order to challenge the status quo. During the last two years, China's credit system did not turn into the disaster these people once predicted. Chinese industry is almost entirely fueled by external demand. For example, in the Sino-Vietnamese War, both sides claimed victory because both sides had achieved their objectives. So how does this best military keep losing wars they start? I was thinking India will probably end up being the deciding nation if it picks a side. If it wants to avoid war and win the comprehensive confrontation with China, the US has to take different initiatives and deeply reform itself to match and surpass China’s achievements. The Cold War was the most 'inevitable' war in modern history, far surpassing any modern geopolitical disagreements, yet it never came to fruition. The western media already is exposing corruption where it can, be it in Russia, China or India. By that same logic, the US would suddenly lose everything they import from China. Thucydides Trap is not about the incentives to PRETEND they want war that led to escalation, but the inevitability of the rising power that will engaged in war against the reigning hegemon. Is war with Russia inevitable? Also, the way that Hollywood protects the Chinese government because of its movie distribution deals? They have been told to expect a better future, and if instead they are given horror and misery, there would be consequences for the state. This is … If you don't fall within the scope the question is directed to, please do not reply to the question as your comment will be removed. If events in the South China Sea lead to war, the US can probably … I know the people here like to shit on Trump, to the point if the US or Trump is mentioned I have quit reading the comments because it is usually "durr hurr Trump is an idiot", which is quite the opposite of high level discussion - but I think it was pretty smart in terms of long term strategy to keep the balance of power with China. Actually no, Taiwan claims more of the Gulf of Tonkin than the PRC due to the difference between the 11-dash line and the 9-dash line. It was a misconception or intentional misleading. Robert Gore. They are indeed wealthy, but they have no allies and no one likes their government at all. Drafting cleantech to fight China could help sell voters, but endangers his climate goals. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. It struck me the other day that China has a recipe to become the next world power or at least it seems. EDIT- Took literally less than a minute to hit reddit hell. The president title is mainly a figurehead, party leader is where most of the "real power lies". You forget America has not gone up against a proper military force since the Korean War. They lost in Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan and pretty much every single military conflict they were involved in since 1945. Through geopolitics we attempt to analyze and predict the actions and decisions of nations, or other forms of political power, by means of their geographical characteristics and location in the world. But China and the U.S. both have a lot to lose from war, so it would seem unlikely. The US troops probably have better equipment, but at this point, no longer have the same level of training they used to. I actually think it belongs to one of the fake news category. Gone. Apr 6, 2021, 10:51am EDT. Any war stemming from disputes in the East China Sea will necessarily involve Japan. If the question is "Bakers of reddit..." and you're not a baker, your comment will be removed. heavily sanctioned/exploited countries). Geopolitics is focused on the relationship between politics and territory. Setting up backup factories is very time consuming and expensive, meaning that while this is happening the US is missing essential import products. Holy shit, if you think the PLA is highly trained and disciplined, I have a piece of property on the moon to sell you. What Fun! Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns. A very good video i realy enjoyed that you talked about the economical side of things and also that you presented the real intrest of China in North Korea. If we're talking about war that adheres to international laws, I'd say probably US, simply because its military expenditures and technologies would probably destroy the Chinese military considering it spends 3 times more than China does. Just like China would lose all the US orders, so would the US and NATO lose almost everything they need. This is why most chinese presidents have more than one title. Press J to jump to the feed. then just russia and china, we have far more advanced technology, and more guns, chinas economy would collapse fast without exports, we also have more nukes and nuke technology. How the Gods Made Britain’s Prime Minister Mad, by Martin Sieff April 6, 2021; War with China? (of the other) A possibility is that a 3rd large power could reap the benefits of a weakened US or China such Russia. Yet each has powerful incentives to pretend that they do want war, which could create escalation. What could they threaten in return? China has a overabundance of people (like the US pre-WW2), a quickly expanding and already massive industrial sector(like the US pre-WW2), They are also very wealthy. Would india actually help China? Recent Posts. Eh, I'm confident Nato would probably pull through for the US. If for some reason the US and China came to blows would it actually be very surprising if China won given their insane population and other advantages in the rough? New Subs Need Biden To Boost Navy’s Broken Public Shipyards. are so imperative to China. Submission Statement: countries decide to go to war for strategic reasons. The site may not work properly if you don't, If you do not update your browser, we suggest you visit, Press J to jump to the feed. And as i saw your other videos as well i think you should post them here on Reddit a bit more often as they have a high quality regarding their content. A cold war would begin with radical decoupling … Chinese industry is almost entirely fueled by external demand. Every war since then has had the foes either bombed to pieces prior to the campaign, nowhere near the same tech level or where faced off against a coalition of forces including the US. Gone. I have never heard of. Better buy all those troops some swim trunks and walking shoes. China is allied with Russia, it would just be cold war part 2. Also, the way that Hollywood protects the Chinese government because of its movie distribution deals? Your premises are a bit dodgy. The premise in the video was unfortunately wrong. Every country around it is at best wary about it, if not openly antagonistic.
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